The 2009 UCI Cycling World Championships road race course in Mendrisio, Switzerland favors classics riders. The course will have 4,655 m of climbing, with the second of two climbs coming only 2.5 km from the finish in Mendrisio stadium, where the race also starts. The winner will either solo home or outsprint a small group.
Who might the winner be? He seems likely to come from the Italian or Spanish teams, the two strongest squads in the race. Italian Damiano Cunego won two stages of the 2009 Vuelta and seems ready to tackle the 19 13.8-km circuits that will determine the world road race champion. In the closing stages of the race, Cunego and Ballan might dominate as they did last year in Varese, Italy. The parcours, however, is harder than it was last year, and Cunego seems to be the better bet to be in at the kill.
The Spanish team is the only one that is one a par with the Italians. Alejandro Valverde, a proven classics rider, has great form, as demonstrated by his Vuelta win. Moreover, he is probably the best sprinter among elite climbers, which means that he is likely to outsprint a small group after 262 km of riding. Samuel Sanchez, the Olympic road race champion, also has good form after finished second in the Vuelta. He won the Olympic road race in Beijing last year by getting into the right move at the right time. If Sanchez turns in a repeat performance in Mendrisio, he could wind up as the world champion.